Determining Stress State of Source Media with Identified Difference between Groundwater Level during Loading and Unloading Induced by Earth Tides

The groundwater level might be adopted as a useful tool to explore pre-seismic stress change in the earth crust, because it circulates in the deep crust and should be altered by the processes associated with the preparation of earthquakes. This work makes a new attempt that applies the load/unload response ratio (LURR) technique to study the stress state of the source media before the large earthquakes by calculating the ratio between the water levels during the loading and unloading phases. The change of Coulomb failure stress induced by earth tides in the tectonically preferred slip direction on the fault surface of the mainshock is adopted for differentiating the loading and unloading periods. Using this approach, we tested the groundwater level in the wells near the epicenters of some large earthquakes that occurred in the Sichuan-Yunnan region of southwest China. Results show that the LURR time series fluctuated narrowly around 1.0 for many years and reached anomalously high peaks 2~8 months prior to the mainshocks. For the earthquakes with multiple observation wells, the magnitude of the maximum values decreases with the distance from the epicenter. The underlying physics of these changes should be caused by the pre-seismic dilatancy. The corresponding volume variations in the crust could be observed in the geodetic time series in the same neighborhoods and during the same period.

Anti-Seismic Performance Evaluation of Waterproofing Materials for Underground Pile Wall Structures

This study introduces and demonstrates the application of an experimental regime for anti-seismic performance evaluation of waterproofing materials used for concrete pile walls. Concrete pile walls are subject to high degrees of seismic load, and the resultant stress can affect the waterproofing integrity of the structure, but there is currently no existing methodology or standard for evaluating this property of waterproofing materials. To propose and conduct this evaluation, a new testing apparatus was designed and manufactured to test an installed waterproofing material’s seismic resistance performance. Under three different inclined angle conditions (0°, 10°, 20°), each with three different rotation speed conditions (10, 20 and 30 rotations per minute), three types of waterproofing materials were subjected to 30 s of increasing seismic stress and tested for their waterproofing performance. Waterproofing performance was determined by whether the specimen installed with the respective type of material was able to prevent leakage path formation during the seismic stress, and the performance was summarized and compared based on the average results for four specimens of each material type and the duration before leakage occurrence. Results of the demonstration testing yielded significantly different results for the tested material types, prompting the need to further investigate different types of waterproofing materials, products, and techniques for a comprehensive understanding of waterproofing material response properties against seismic stress. The demonstration process shown in this research was intended to serve as a proposal for the development of these performance evaluation criteria, methodologies, and equipment for possible future application.

Present-day geodynamics of the Western Alps: new insights from earthquake mechanisms

Due to the low to moderate seismicity of the European Western Alps, few focal mechanisms are available in this region to this day, and the corresponding current seismic stress and strain fields remain partly elusive. The development of dense seismic networks in past decades now provides a substantial number of seismic records in the 0–5 magnitude range. The corresponding data, while challenging to handle due to their amount and relative noise, represent a new opportunity to increase the spatial resolution of seismic deformation fields. The aim of this paper is to quantitatively assess the current seismic stress and strain fields within the Western Alps, from a probabilistic standpoint, using new seismotectonic data. The dataset comprises more than 30 000 earthquakes recorded by dense seismic networks between 1989 and 2013 and more than 2200 newly computed focal mechanisms in a consistent manner. The global distribution of P and T axis plunges confirms a majority of transcurrent focal mechanisms in the entire western Alpine realm, combined with pure extension localized in the core of the belt. We inverted this new set of focal mechanisms through several strategies, including a seismotectonic zoning scheme and grid procedure, revealing extensional axes oriented obliquely to the strike of the belt. The Bayesian inversion of this new dataset of focal mechanisms provides a probabilistic continuous map of the style of seismic deformation in the Western Alps. Extension is found to be clustered, instead of continuous, along the backbone of the belt. Robust indications for compression are only observed at the boundary between the Adriatic and Eurasian plates. Short-wavelength spatial variations of the seismic deformation are consistent with surface horizontal Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements, as well as with deep lithospheric structures, thereby providing new elements with which to understand the current 3D dynamics of the belt. We interpret the ongoing seismotectonic and kinematic regimes as being controlled by the joint effects of far-field forces – imposed by the anticlockwise rotation of Adria with respect to Europe – and buoyancy forces in the core of the belt, which together explain the short-wavelength patches of extension and marginal compression overprinted on an overall transcurrent tectonic regime.

Stress-Strain Relationship: Postulated Concept to Understand Genetic Mechanism Associated with a Seismic Event

In this study, we propose the design methodology for monitoring the earthquake and for detecting and tracking micro-seismic changes in the earthquake prediction system. The alert device includes these sensors will be drastically different from current early warnings using the dozens of seismometers network across seismically active regions for measurement of small acceleration signals directly and, as the first, low-noise stage of the instruments measuring low-noise velocity signals. Strain develops over considerable time in the overlying stratum at right angle to the applied shearing (max) stress, obeying the internal friction of the stratum, available seismic energy and law of stress–strain relationship. Using estimated energy (seismic), stress accumulation, the addition or subtraction in the strain rate due to stress developed can be analyzed for a seismic event. This concept may lead to better understanding of stress generation; build up, transfer and final drop. Then we propose a methodology to identify type of data can be used for the spectral analysis in earthquake seismology and what type of instrument can be used for the spectral analysis in for data acquisition.

Mapping the pre and post seismic crustal stress heterogeneity analogous to 2016, Mw 7.8, Kaikoura quake, New Zealand

Heterogeneity of pre and post seismic stress states associated to any earthquake play a primary role in understanding the earthquake mechanism and hazard assessment of a seismically dynamic region. The Mw 7.8, November 14, 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquake offer an unprecedented possibility to observe the heterogeneity in stress field over a very complex fault system wherein subduction zone converges with the strike slip faults system. Here we report the pre and post seismic stress field asperity first time in terms of spatial and temporal variations of b-values associated to the Kaikoura main-shock. Pre seismic spatial disparity of b-value indicates the existence of two prominent low b-value clusters, one towards southwest closer to the epicenter and other to the north of the rupture zone. During co seismic period, owing to the stress release near the epicentral area, the pattern of prominent low b-value pattern has become negligible in the post seismic period. However, the pattern of low b-value in the north of the rupture zone remains similar in the post seismic period indicates the unreleased strain energy in the province. The temporal evaluation of the earthquakes frequency magnitude distributions over a period of two decades also showed an analogous pattern that the b-values were decreased considerably before the large earthquakes in the expanse, which could spawn a larger future earthquakes in the vicinity.

Determining stress state of source media with identified difference between groundwater level during loading and unloading induced by earth tide

The groundwater might be adopted as a useful tool to explore pre-seismic stress change in the crust, because it circulates in the deep crust and should be altered by the processes associated with the preparation of earthquakes. This work makes a new attempt that applies the load/unload response ratio (LURR) technique to study stress state of source media by calculating the ratio between water level during the loading and unloading phases. The change of Coulomb failure stress induced by earth tide in the tectonically preferred slip direction on the fault surface of the main shock is adopted for differentiating the loading and unloading periods. Using this approach, we test the groundwater level in the wells near the epicenters of some large earthquakes occurred in the Sichuan-Yunnan region of southwest China. Results show that the LURR time series fluctuate narrowly around 1.0 for many years, and climb to the maximum peaks prior to the main shocks. The magnitude of the pre-seismic peaks decreases with the distance from the epicenters. We hypothesized that the underlying physics of these changes might be explained by the pre-seismic dilatancy. The corresponding volume variations could be observed in the geodetic time series in the same neighborhoods.

Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: The case for the Dead Sea during the last two millennia

Seismicity triggered by water level changes in reservoirs and lakes is usually studied from well-documented contemporary records. Can such triggering be explored on a historical time scale when the data gathered on water level fluctuations in historic lakes and the earthquake catalogs suffer from severe uncertainties? These uncertainties stem from the different nature of the data gathered, methods, and their resolution. In this article, we considerably improve the correlation between the continuous record of historic water level reconstructions at the Dead Sea and discrete seismicity patterns in the area over the period of the past two millennia. Constricted by the data from previous studies, we generate an ensemble of random water level curves and choose that curve that best correlates with the historical records of seismic stress release in the Dead Sea reflected in the destruction in Jerusalem. We then numerically simulate a synthetic earthquake catalog using this curve. The earthquakes of this synthetic catalog show an impressing agreement with historic earthquake records from the field. We demonstrate for the first time that water level changes correlate well with the observed recurrence interval record of historic earthquakes.